{"dataset":"pump.fun graduation rate: daily launches and graduations","url":"https://pumpfyi.com/data/graduation/","lead":"Collecting since 2026-11-04 19:08 UTC; first full-day figures on 2026-11-06, and the first graduation rate (the share of a day's launches that graduate within 24 hours) once 3 full days of launches have had 24 hours each, expected 2026-11-09. So far PumpFYI has counted 402 new pump.fun coins and 18 graduations to PumpSwap in 25 minutes of observation, to 2026-11-04 19:37 UTC.","cite":"PumpFYI, pump.fun graduation rate: daily launches and graduations, https://pumpfyi.com/data/graduation/ (data as of 2026-11-04T19:37:06Z)","id":"graduation","license":"CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), attribute PumpFYI (pumpfyi.com)","title":"pump.fun graduation rate: daily launches and graduations","as_of":"2026-11-04T19:37:06Z","series_start":"2026-11-04","source":"PumpFYI collector on PumpPortal's public websocket (new-token and migration events), checked daily against the chain","method":"Counts of on-chain pump.fun events observed through PumpPortal's public websocket (wss://pumpportal.fun/api/data, subscribeNewToken + subscribeMigration), a third-party feed not run by pump.fun. creates = new coins launched on pump.fun's bonding curve (pool 'pump'); creates_other_pools = launches the feed reports for other launchpads (e.g. bonk), excluded from rates. graduations = migration events (a coin completing its bonding curve and moving to its PumpSwap pool) seen that UTC day, whenever the coin was created. grad_ratio = graduations / creates on the same day (a flow ratio, not a probability). ttg = time from creation to graduation, only for graduating coins whose creation we also observed (ttg_n), so early in the series it leans toward fast graduations. grads_under_1m = timed graduations less than 60 seconds after creation, almost always a launch bundled with buys that fill its own curve. cohort_grad_24h / _7d = share of coins created that day that graduated within 24 hours / 7 days of creation (null until the window has passed). survival_30d = share of a day's graduates that, 30 days later, still have a Solana pair on DexScreener with at least $1,000 of liquidity and non-zero 24h volume. coverage = share of the day's 1,440 minutes our socket was connected for the whole minute; partial = coverage below 98% or the day is still running, so counts on partial days undercount. creates_observed / graduations_observed = counts inside those fully observed minutes, used for per-day rates. cohort_complete = the launch day and the following day were both at least 98% observed, so the cohort's 24-hour window is fully covered. cohort_grad_24h_ex_bundles = the 24h cohort rate with coins that graduated less than 60 seconds after launch removed from both sides. crosscheck = a daily completeness check against the chain: successful transactions on pump.fun's migration account (public Solana RPC) versus the migrations the stream reported; missed_share is the estimated share of on-chain migrations the stream did not report. PumpPortal's terms (section 6) restrict republishing its feed, so PumpFYI publishes only daily aggregate counts of public on-chain events; per-coin records stay on our server. The series starts 2026-11-04 at 19:08 UTC: there is no earlier data from this collector.","summary":{"series_start":"2026-11-04","series_start_time":"2026-11-04 19:08 UTC","days":1,"full_days":0,"ready":false,"cohort_days":0,"min_cohort_days":3,"first_full_counts_on":"2026-11-06","first_rate_expected_on":"2026-11-09","cohort_from":null,"cohort_to":null,"cohort_launches":0,"cohort_graduated_24h":0,"cohort_grad_24h":null,"cohort_grad_24h_ex_bundles":null,"cohort_bundle_share":null,"cohort_grad_7d":null,"cohort_7d_days":0,"flow_basis":"partial days only","flow_from":"2026-11-04","flow_to":"2026-11-04","flow_full_days":0,"flow_ratio":null,"creates_per_day":null,"graduations_per_day":null,"ttg_n":3,"grads_under_1m":2,"fast_share":null,"ttg_median_min":null,"survival_30d":null,"survival_days":0,"mayhem_share":0.1592,"observed_minutes":25,"observed_hours":0.4,"total_creates":402,"total_graduations":18,"check_date":null,"missed_share":null,"missed_share_worst_7d":null,"missed_flag":null,"latest_date":"2026-11-04","latest_partial":true},"published":[{"who":"PumpFunData","rate":0.0084,"window":"April 2026","note":"4,866 graduates from 763,350 launches after removing bot-driven graduations; median organic graduate bonded in 9.8 minutes","url":"https://pumpfundata.com/blog/pumpfun-graduation-rate-analysis","published":"2026-07-16","via":null},{"who":"madeonsol.com","rate":0.0176,"window":"August 2026","note":"18,202 graduations against 1,032,440 launches, same-window","url":"https://coinpaprika.com/education/token-graduation-mean-numbers/","published":"2026-08-28","via":"CoinPaprika"},{"who":"Marino et al. (arXiv 2602.14860)","rate":0.0063,"window":"1 Sep to 1 Oct 2025","note":"academic on-chain study of 655,770 tokens","url":"https://coinpaprika.com/education/token-graduation-mean-numbers/","published":"2026","via":"CoinPaprika"}],"days":[{"date":"2026-11-04","partial":true,"coverage":0.0174,"minutes_observed":25,"minutes_in_day":1177,"creates_observed":359,"graduations_observed":18,"creates":402,"creates_other_pools":12,"mayhem_creates":64,"graduations":18,"grad_ratio":0.04478,"ttg_median_min":0,"ttg_p25_min":null,"ttg_p75_min":null,"ttg_n":3,"grads_under_1m":2,"cohort_n":402,"cohort_complete":false,"cohort_g24":null,"cohort_g24_under_1m":null,"cohort_grad_24h":null,"cohort_grad_24h_ex_bundles":null,"cohort_g7":null,"cohort_grad_7d":null,"survival_30d":null,"survival_30d_n":null,"hourly":[{"h":"19","minutes":25,"creates":359,"graduations":18}]}]}